Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 5· Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol
Corinthians1-1
FT
Penarol vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 22 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Penarol vs Corinthians tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Penarol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| X2Corinthians or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XPenarol or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Corinthians to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Penarol to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Penarol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.44 | - |
Penarol vs Corinthians preview & analysis
Match preview
Penarol host Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 5) at Estadio Campeon del Siglo on Friday, 22 May 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Penarol have won 2, Corinthians have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Corinthians narrow favourites: Penarol 23%, draw 38%, Corinthians 39%. We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 2 |  Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
Penarol vs Corinthians: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Penarol vs Corinthians?
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Corinthians are favourites. Our model gives Penarol a 23% chance of winning, Corinthians 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Corinthians?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Penarol vs Corinthians kick off?
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Penarol vs Corinthians kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 22 May 2026 at Estadio Campeon del Siglo, Montevideo.
