Ligue 1· Regular Season - 10· Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes7 Nov
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
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More Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XParis Saint Germain or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Estac Troyes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 58% | 1.71 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| X2Estac Troyes or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Paris Saint Germain to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 42% | 2.40 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| 2Estac Troyes to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estac Troyes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.54 | - |
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes preview & analysis
Match preview
Paris Saint Germain host Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10) at Parc des Princes on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Paris Saint Germain arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Manchester City 4-2 away. They're 6th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Estac Troyes are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Marseille 0-2 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Paris Saint Germain have won 5, Estac Troyes have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites: Paris Saint Germain 47%, draw 41%, Estac Troyes 12%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes.
Recent form
Paris Saint Germain- 14 OctAManchester City4-2
- 10 OctHLe Mans3-1
- 20 SeptAMarseille2-1
- 13 SeptAStade Brestois 291-0
- 9 SeptHSlovan Bratislava6-1
Estac Troyes- 11 OctHMarseille0-2
- 2 OctADijon2-2
- 19 SeptAAngers0-2
- 13 SeptALille0-2
- 6 SeptHStrasbourg2-6
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: FAQ
What is the Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes.
Who is the favourite to win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Paris Saint Germain a 47% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes kick off?
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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Parc des Princes, Paris.
