La Liga· Regular Season - 36· Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid1-2
FT
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 12 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Atletico Madrid or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Osasuna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XOsasuna or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Atletico Madrid to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Osasuna to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Osasuna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Osasuna host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 36) at Estadio El Sadar on Tuesday, 12 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Osasuna have won 2, Atletico Madrid have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Osasuna 23%, draw 38%, Atletico Madrid 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 46 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 29 |
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Osasuna a 23% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Tuesday, 12 May 2026 at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.