Europa League· Semi-finals· City Ground
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa1-0
FT
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 30 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Aston Villa or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Nottingham Forest +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| 1XNottingham Forest or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.04 | - |
| 2Aston Villa to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Nottingham Forest to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Nottingham Forest -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.72 | - |
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa preview & analysis
Match preview
Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa in the Europa League (Semi-finals) at City Ground on Thursday, 30 April 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Nottingham Forest have won 2, Aston Villa have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Aston Villa narrow favourites: Nottingham Forest 17%, draw 41%, Aston Villa 42%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
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Aston Villa are favourites. Our model gives Nottingham Forest a 17% chance of winning, Aston Villa 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa kick off?
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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 30 April 2026 at City Ground, Nottingham.
