Championship· Regular Season - 44· Carrow Road
Norwich
Derby2-1
FT
Norwich vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 21 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Norwich vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Norwich +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XNorwich or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Norwich to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Norwich -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Norwich vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
Norwich host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 44) at Carrow Road on Tuesday, 21 April 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Norwich have won 2, Derby have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Derby narrow favourites: Norwich 23%, draw 38%, Derby 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 65 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 | 64 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 | 64 |
Norwich vs Derby: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Norwich vs Derby?
+
Derby are favourites. Our model gives Norwich a 23% chance of winning, Derby 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Derby?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Norwich vs Derby kick off?
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Norwich vs Derby kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 21 April 2026 at Carrow Road, Norwich.
