Liga MX· Apertura - 4· Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Leon1-2
FT
Necaxa vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Necaxa vs Leon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Necaxa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XNecaxa or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Leon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| X2Leon or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.17 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Necaxa to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Necaxa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| 2Leon to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Leon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.22 | - |
Necaxa vs Leon preview & analysis
Match preview
Necaxa host Leon in the Liga MX (Apertura - 4) at Estadio Victoria on Tuesday, 18 August 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Necaxa have won 2, Leon have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Necaxa narrow favourites: Necaxa 44%, draw 38%, Leon 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 54% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Necaxa vs Leon: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Necaxa vs Leon?
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Necaxa are favourites. Our model gives Necaxa a 44% chance of winning, Leon 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Leon?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Necaxa vs Leon kick off?
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Necaxa vs Leon kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Tuesday, 18 August 2026 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.
