Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 4· Estádio da Madeira
Nacional
Estrela2-3
FT
Nacional vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 30 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Nacional vs Estrela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Nacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XNacional or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Estrela or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 | - |
| 1Nacional to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Estrela to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Nacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.63 | - |
Nacional vs Estrela preview & analysis
Match preview
Nacional host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 4) at Estádio da Madeira on Sunday, 30 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Nacional arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Vitória SC 0-1 away. They're 16th in the table with 4 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Nacional have won 2, Estrela have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Nacional narrow favourites: Nacional 38%, draw 32%, Estrela 30%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Nacional- 23 AugAVitória SC0-1
EstrelaHead to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Nacional vs Estrela: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Nacional vs Estrela?
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Nacional are favourites. Our model gives Nacional a 38% chance of winning, Estrela 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Nacional vs Estrela?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Nacional vs Estrela kick off?
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Nacional vs Estrela kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.
