Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 30· Estádio da Madeira
Nacional
Alverca1-0
FT
Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 18 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Nacional vs Alverca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Alverca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Alverca or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Nacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XNacional or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Alverca to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Alverca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Nacional to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Nacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Nacional vs Alverca preview & analysis
Match preview
Nacional host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 30) at Estádio da Madeira on Saturday, 18 April 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Nacional have won 0, Alverca have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Alverca narrow favourites: Nacional 23%, draw 38%, Alverca 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Nacional vs Alverca: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Nacional vs Alverca?
+
Alverca are favourites. Our model gives Nacional a 23% chance of winning, Alverca 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Nacional vs Alverca?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Nacional vs Alverca kick off?
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Nacional vs Alverca kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.
