Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 32· Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense
Estrela3-2
FT
Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 2 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Moreirense vs Estrela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.20 | - |
| 1XMoreirense or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| X2Estrela or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 1Moreirense to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Estrela to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.08 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.98 | - |
Moreirense vs Estrela preview & analysis
Match preview
Moreirense host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 32) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Saturday, 2 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Moreirense have won 2, Estrela have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Moreirense narrow favourites: Moreirense 38%, draw 32%, Estrela 30%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 42% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Moreirense vs Estrela: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Moreirense vs Estrela?
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Moreirense are favourites. Our model gives Moreirense a 38% chance of winning, Estrela 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Estrela?
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We rate both teams to score at 42%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Moreirense vs Estrela kick off?
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Moreirense vs Estrela kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 2 May 2026 at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos.
