Ligue 1· Regular Season - 2· Stade Louis II
Monaco
Marseille2-0
FT
Monaco vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 30 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Monaco vs Marseille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Marseille or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Monaco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XMonaco or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Marseille to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Monaco to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Monaco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Monaco vs Marseille preview & analysis
Match preview
Monaco host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 2) at Stade Louis II on Sunday, 30 August 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monaco have won 3, Marseille have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille narrow favourites: Monaco 23%, draw 38%, Marseille 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Monaco vs Marseille: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Monaco vs Marseille?
+
Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Monaco a 23% chance of winning, Marseille 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Marseille?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Monaco vs Marseille kick off?
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Monaco vs Marseille kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
