Mirassol
Gremio2-1
FT
Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 18 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Mirassol vs Gremio tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Mirassol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XMirassol or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Gremio or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Mirassol to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mirassol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Gremio to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Mirassol vs Gremio preview & analysis
Match preview
Mirassol host Gremio in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 19) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia on Saturday, 18 July 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Mirassol have won 3, Gremio have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mirassol narrow favourites: Mirassol 44%, draw 38%, Gremio 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 | |
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 | |
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 | |
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 | |
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 | |
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 | |
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 | |
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Mirassol vs Gremio: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Mirassol vs Gremio?
+
Mirassol are favourites. Our model gives Mirassol a 44% chance of winning, Gremio 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Gremio?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Mirassol vs Gremio kick off?
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Mirassol vs Gremio kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 18 July 2026 at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol.