A-League· Regular Season - 25· AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets2-2
FT
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 17 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Newcastle Jets +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Newcastle Jets or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Melbourne Victory +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | - |
| 1XMelbourne Victory or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2Newcastle Jets to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Newcastle Jets -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 1Melbourne Victory to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Melbourne Victory -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.55 | - |
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets preview & analysis
Match preview
Melbourne Victory host Newcastle Jets in the A-League (Regular Season - 25) at AAMI Park on Friday, 17 April 2026, with kick-off at 09:35 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Melbourne Victory have won 1, Newcastle Jets have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 4.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newcastle Jets narrow favourites: Melbourne Victory 23%, draw 38%, Newcastle Jets 39%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.4 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Head to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +16 | 48 |
| 2 |  Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 |  Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +13 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 |  Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 39 |
| 6 |  Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 |  Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 |  Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 |  Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 21 |
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
+
Newcastle Jets are favourites. Our model gives Melbourne Victory a 23% chance of winning, Newcastle Jets 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
+
We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets kick off?
+
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets kicks off at 09:35 UTC on Friday, 17 April 2026 at AAMI Park, Melbourne.
