A-League· Regular Season - 3· AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners1 Nov
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Melbourne Victory +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMelbourne Victory or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Central Coast Mariners +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Central Coast Mariners or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Melbourne Victory to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Melbourne Victory -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Central Coast Mariners to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Central Coast Mariners -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners preview & analysis
Match preview
Melbourne Victory host Central Coast Mariners in the A-League (Regular Season - 3) at AAMI Park on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 04:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Melbourne Victory arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat FC Seoul 3-0 at home. They're 9th in the table with 0 points from 0 games. Central Coast Mariners are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Western Sydney Wanderers 1-5 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 0 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Melbourne Victory have won 2, Central Coast Mariners have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Melbourne Victory narrow favourites: Melbourne Victory 44%, draw 38%, Central Coast Mariners 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Melbourne Victory 1-0 Central Coast Mariners.
Recent form
Melbourne Victory- 14 OctHFC Seoul3-0
- 10 OctASouth Melbourne1-1
- 16 SeptAViettel1-1
- 9 SeptASydney2-0
- 19 AugAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers1-0
Central Coast Mariners- 26 SeptAWestern Sydney Wanderers1-5
- 12 SeptAVanuatu United0-1
- 9 SeptAVanuatu United2-3
- 22 JulASydney United1-1
- 25 AprANewcastle Jets0-4
Head to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners: FAQ
What is the Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 1-0 Central Coast Mariners.
Who is the favourite to win Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
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Melbourne Victory are favourites. Our model gives Melbourne Victory a 44% chance of winning, Central Coast Mariners 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners kick off?
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Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners kicks off at 04:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at AAMI Park, Melbourne.
