A-League· Regular Season - 26· AAMI Park
Melbourne City
Adelaide United1-2
FT
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 26 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Melbourne City vs Adelaide United tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Melbourne City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Adelaide United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.29 | - |
| 1XMelbourne City or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Adelaide United or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.62 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.61 | - |
| 1Melbourne City to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Adelaide United to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Melbourne City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.41 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Adelaide United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.70 | - |
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United preview & analysis
Match preview
Melbourne City host Adelaide United in the A-League (Regular Season - 26) at AAMI Park on Sunday, 26 April 2026, with kick-off at 07:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Melbourne City have won 1, Adelaide United have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Melbourne City narrow favourites: Melbourne City 38%, draw 32%, Adelaide United 30%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Head to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +16 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 |  Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +13 | 42 |
| 4 |  Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 |  Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 |  Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 |  Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 |  Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 21 |
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Melbourne City vs Adelaide United?
+
Melbourne City are favourites. Our model gives Melbourne City a 38% chance of winning, Adelaide United 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Melbourne City vs Adelaide United?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Melbourne City vs Adelaide United kick off?
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Melbourne City vs Adelaide United kicks off at 07:30 UTC on Sunday, 26 April 2026 at AAMI Park, Melbourne.
