Liga MX· Clausura - 16· Estadio El Encanto
Mazatlán
Toluca4-3
FT
Mazatlán vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 23 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Mazatlán vs Toluca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Toluca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Mazatlán +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Toluca or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XMazatlán or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Toluca to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Mazatlán to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Toluca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mazatlán -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Mazatlán vs Toluca preview & analysis
Match preview
Mazatlán host Toluca in the Liga MX (Clausura - 16) at Estadio El Encanto on Thursday, 23 April 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Mazatlán arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Club Queretaro 1-1 at home. They're 16th in the table with 15 points from 17 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Mazatlán have won 2, Toluca have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toluca narrow favourites: Mazatlán 23%, draw 38%, Toluca 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Mazatlán- 18 AprHClub Queretaro1-1
- 12 AprAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3
- 4 AprANecaxa1-2
- 21 MarHCruz Azul1-1
TolucaHead to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | +17 | 36 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 12 |
Mazatlán vs Toluca: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Mazatlán vs Toluca?
+
Toluca are favourites. Our model gives Mazatlán a 23% chance of winning, Toluca 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mazatlán vs Toluca?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Mazatlán vs Toluca kick off?
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Mazatlán vs Toluca kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 23 April 2026 at Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan.
