Ligue 1· Regular Season - 11· Orange Vélodrome
Marseille
Le Mans22 Nov
Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Marseille vs Le Mans tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Le Mans +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Le Mans or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.40 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Le Mans to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Le Mans -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.53 | - |
| 1Marseille to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.10 | - |
Marseille vs Le Mans preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 11) at Orange Vélodrome on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Le Mans arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 1-3 away. They're 14th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Le Mans narrow favourites: Marseille 23%, draw 38%, Le Mans 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Marseille 1-2 Le Mans.
Recent form
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Le Mans- 10 OctAParis Saint Germain1-3
- 2 OctAGuingamp1-2
- 19 SeptHLorient2-1
- 13 SeptHLens2-2
- 5 SeptANice1-1
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Marseille vs Le Mans: FAQ
What is the Marseille vs Le Mans prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Marseille 1-2 Le Mans.
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Le Mans?
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Le Mans are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 23% chance of winning, Le Mans 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Le Mans?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Marseille vs Le Mans kick off?
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Marseille vs Le Mans kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
