Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 12
Maritimo
Nacional27 Nov
Maritimo vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 27 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Maritimo vs Nacional tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Maritimo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XMaritimo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Nacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Nacional or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Maritimo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Maritimo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Nacional to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Nacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Maritimo vs Nacional preview & analysis
Match preview
Maritimo host Nacional in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 12) on Friday, 27 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Maritimo are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to FC Porto 1-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Nacional are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Most recently they lost to Rio Ave 2-3 away. They're 16th in the table with 4 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Maritimo have won 6, Nacional have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Maritimo narrow favourites: Maritimo 44%, draw 38%, Nacional 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Maritimo 2-1 Nacional.
Recent form
Maritimo- 10 OctHFC Porto1-2
- 19 SeptAGIL Vicente1-1
- 14 SeptAMoreirense1-3
- 5 SeptHBenfica0-3
- 29 AugAArouca1-2
Nacional- 11 OctARio Ave2-3
- 19 SeptHFamalicao0-4
- 12 SeptHAlverca1-3
- 5 SeptASporting CP0-2
- 30 AugHEstrela2-3
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Maritimo vs Nacional: FAQ
What is the Maritimo vs Nacional prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Maritimo 2-1 Nacional.
Who is the favourite to win Maritimo vs Nacional?
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Maritimo are favourites. Our model gives Maritimo a 44% chance of winning, Nacional 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Maritimo vs Nacional?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Maritimo vs Nacional kick off?
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Maritimo vs Nacional kicks off at 20:15 UTC on Friday, 27 November 2026.
