Oh My Tip
Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 3· Wiklof Holding Arena
Mariehamn logoMariehamn
Ilves logoIlves

2-2

FT

Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 18 April 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Fan vote

Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

Votes: 0
✕ Our model got it wrong

How many goals?

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✓ Our model got it right

Match probabilities

23%Mariehamn
38%Draw
39%Ilves
Over 2.5 goals58%
Under 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score59%
Clean sheet either side41%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Mariehamn vs Ilves tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH2 +1.5Ilves +1.5 (Asian Handicap)89%1.12-
X2Ilves or Draw77%1.30-
AH1 +1.5Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian Handicap)72%1.38-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals65%1.55-
1XMariehamn or Draw61%1.65-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score59%1.70-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals58%1.73-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals42%2.36-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score41%2.42-
2Ilves to win39%2.54-
XDraw38%2.65-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals35%2.83-
AH2 -1.5Ilves -1.5 (Asian Handicap)28%3.62-
1Mariehamn to win23%4.39-
AH1 -1.5Mariehamn -1.5 (Asian Handicap)11%9.27-

Mariehamn vs Ilves preview & analysis

Match preview

Mariehamn host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga (Regular Season - 3) at Wiklof Holding Arena on Saturday, 18 April 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Mariehamn have won 1, Ilves have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Ilves narrow favourites: Mariehamn 23%, draw 38%, Ilves 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

Head to head

31/08/2025Ilves2-1Mariehamn
27/04/2025Mariehamn3-2Ilves
11/08/2024Ilves2-0Mariehamn
28/04/2024Mariehamn0-1Ilves
27/09/2023Ilves2-1Mariehamn
15/07/2023Ilves0-0Mariehamn

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS logoKuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku logoInter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki logoHJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan logoGnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu logoAC Oulu221048034
6VPS logoVPS22967+733
7Lahti logoLahti22958+732
8Turku PS logoTurku PS22877+531
9Ilves logoIlves227411-325
10SJK logoSJK224711-819
11FF Jaro logoFF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn logoMariehamn223514-2614

Mariehamn vs Ilves: FAQ

Who is the favourite to win Mariehamn vs Ilves?

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Ilves are favourites. Our model gives Mariehamn a 23% chance of winning, Ilves 39%, and the draw 38%.

Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs Ilves?

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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

When does Mariehamn vs Ilves kick off?

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Mariehamn vs Ilves kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn.

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