FA Cup· Semi-finals· Wembley Stadium
Manchester City
Southampton2-1
FT
Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 25 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester City vs Southampton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XManchester City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Southampton or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Manchester City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Southampton to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Manchester City vs Southampton preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester City host Southampton in the FA Cup (Semi-finals) at Wembley Stadium on Saturday, 25 April 2026, with kick-off at 16:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester City have won 4, Southampton have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Manchester City 44%, draw 38%, Southampton 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Manchester City vs Southampton: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Manchester City vs Southampton?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Manchester City a 44% chance of winning, Southampton 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Southampton?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester City vs Southampton kick off?
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Manchester City vs Southampton kicks off at 16:15 UTC on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at Wembley Stadium, London.
