Premier League· Regular Season - 13· Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Leeds2 Dec
Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Manchester City vs Leeds tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XManchester City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Leeds or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Manchester City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Leeds to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Manchester City vs Leeds preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester City host Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 13) at Etihad Stadium on Wednesday, 2 December 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Manchester City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 2-4 at home. They're 1st in the table with 18 points from 6 games. Leeds arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 1-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester City have won 6, Leeds have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Manchester City 44%, draw 38%, Leeds 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Manchester City 2-1 Leeds.
Recent form
Manchester City- 14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4
- 11 OctALiverpool3-0
- 20 SeptHSunderland5-3
- 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
- 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
Leeds- 10 OctAArsenal1-2
- 20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0
- 14 SeptHNewcastle4-1
- 9 SeptAChelsea3-6
- 5 SeptABrighton1-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Manchester City vs Leeds: FAQ
What is the Manchester City vs Leeds prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Manchester City 2-1 Leeds.
Who is the favourite to win Manchester City vs Leeds?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Manchester City a 44% chance of winning, Leeds 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Leeds?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester City vs Leeds kick off?
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Manchester City vs Leeds kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.