Premier League· Regular Season - 38· Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Aston Villa1-2
FT
Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 24 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester City vs Aston Villa tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XManchester City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.53 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.62 | - |
| X2Aston Villa or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 1Manchester City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.62 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 2Aston Villa to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.94 | - |
Manchester City vs Aston Villa preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester City host Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 38) at Etihad Stadium on Sunday, 24 May 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester City have won 3, Aston Villa have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Manchester City 44%, draw 38%, Aston Villa 18%. We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Manchester City vs Aston Villa: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
+
Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Manchester City a 44% chance of winning, Aston Villa 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
+
We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester City vs Aston Villa kick off?
+
Manchester City vs Aston Villa kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
