La Liga· Regular Season - 6· Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga
Villarreal1-3
FT
Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 17 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Malaga vs Villarreal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Villarreal or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XMalaga or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Villarreal to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Malaga to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Malaga vs Villarreal preview & analysis
Match preview
Malaga host Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Estadio La Rosaleda on Thursday, 17 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Malaga arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Celta Vigo 1-1 away. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. Villarreal arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Real Betis 1-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Malaga have won 1, Villarreal have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Villarreal narrow favourites: Malaga 23%, draw 38%, Villarreal 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Malaga- 13 SeptACelta Vigo1-1
- 6 SeptHLevante0-0
- 30 AugAReal Madrid0-4
Villarreal- 14 SeptHReal Betis1-2
- 8 SeptABorussia Dortmund2-3
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Malaga vs Villarreal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Malaga vs Villarreal?
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Villarreal are favourites. Our model gives Malaga a 23% chance of winning, Villarreal 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Villarreal?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Malaga vs Villarreal kick off?
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Malaga vs Villarreal kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Thursday, 17 September 2026 at Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga.
