J1 League· Regular Season - 13· Machida GION Stadium
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka1 Nov
Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Machida Zelvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMachida Zelvia or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gamba Osaka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Gamba Osaka or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Machida Zelvia to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Machida Zelvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Gamba Osaka to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gamba Osaka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka preview & analysis
Match preview
Machida Zelvia host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 13) at Machida GION Stadium on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 07:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Machida Zelvia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Tampines Rovers 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Gamba Osaka are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Newcastle Jets 3-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Machida Zelvia have won 3, Gamba Osaka have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Machida Zelvia narrow favourites: Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 38%, Gamba Osaka 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 51% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Machida Zelvia 1-0 Gamba Osaka.
Recent form
Machida Zelvia- 15 OctATampines Rovers1-0
- 10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0
- 3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0
- 23 SeptHTochigi City2-1
- 20 SeptHKashiwa Reysol2-4
Gamba Osaka- 13 OctANewcastle Jets3-1
- 9 OctAKashima0-2
- 3 OctAKashiwa Reysol4-5
- 23 SeptHTokushima Vortis5-0
- 20 SeptHVissel Kobe0-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka: FAQ
What is the Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1-0 Gamba Osaka.
Who is the favourite to win Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
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Machida Zelvia are favourites. Our model gives Machida Zelvia a 44% chance of winning, Gamba Osaka 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka kick off?
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Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka kicks off at 07:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Machida GION Stadium, Machida.
