Nations League· League C - 2· Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Iceland0-3
FT
Luxembourg vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 29 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Luxembourg vs Iceland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Luxembourg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLuxembourg or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Iceland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2Iceland or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Luxembourg to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Luxembourg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Iceland to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Iceland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Luxembourg vs Iceland preview & analysis
Match preview
Luxembourg host Iceland in the Nations League (League C - 2) at Stade de Luxembourg on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Luxembourg arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Bulgaria 2-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games. Iceland arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Estonia 1-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Luxembourg have won 1, Iceland have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Luxembourg narrow favourites: Luxembourg 44%, draw 38%, Iceland 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Luxembourg- 26 SeptABulgaria2-1
- 6 JunAAlbania1-0
- 3 JunHItaly0-1
Iceland- 26 SeptHEstonia1-1
- 10 JunAArgentina0-3
- 31 MayAJapan0-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Luxembourg vs Iceland: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Luxembourg vs Iceland?
+
Luxembourg are favourites. Our model gives Luxembourg a 44% chance of winning, Iceland 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Luxembourg vs Iceland?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Luxembourg vs Iceland kick off?
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Luxembourg vs Iceland kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
