Ligue 1· Regular Season - 4· Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
Lorient
Toulouse2-2
FT
Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lorient vs Toulouse tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Lorient +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| X2Toulouse or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XLorient or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Toulouse to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | - |
| 1Lorient to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.44 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lorient -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.93 | - |
Lorient vs Toulouse preview & analysis
Match preview
Lorient host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4) at Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lorient arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Lens 1-0 away. They're 8th in the table with 8 points from 6 games. Toulouse arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Lille 0-1 at home. They're 15th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lorient have won 0, Toulouse have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toulouse narrow favourites: Lorient 23%, draw 38%, Toulouse 39%. We expect around 1.9 goals (0.8 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 30% for over 2.5 and 36% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Lorient- 5 SeptALens1-0
- 29 AugHEstac Troyes1-2
- 22 AugANice0-0
Toulouse- 3 SeptHLille0-1
- 29 AugAStade Brestois 292-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lorient vs Toulouse: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lorient vs Toulouse?
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Toulouse are favourites. Our model gives Lorient a 23% chance of winning, Toulouse 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Toulouse?
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We rate both teams to score at 36%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Lorient vs Toulouse kick off?
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Lorient vs Toulouse kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient.
