Ligue 1· Regular Season - 30· Stade du Moustoir
Lorient
Marseille2-0
FT
Lorient vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 18 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lorient vs Marseille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Lorient +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| X2Marseille or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XLorient or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Marseille to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Lorient to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lorient -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.44 | - |
Lorient vs Marseille preview & analysis
Match preview
Lorient host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 30) at Stade du Moustoir on Saturday, 18 April 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lorient have won 0, Marseille have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille narrow favourites: Lorient 23%, draw 38%, Marseille 39%. We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 70 |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 61 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 59 |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 36 |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 32 |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 17 |
Lorient vs Marseille: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lorient vs Marseille?
+
Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Lorient a 23% chance of winning, Marseille 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Marseille?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Lorient vs Marseille kick off?
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Lorient vs Marseille kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.
