Liga MX· Apertura - 16· Estadio León
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas9 Nov
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 9 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Leon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.16 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.26 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XLeon or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Guadalajara Chivas or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1Leon to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Guadalajara Chivas to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Leon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.90 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.36 | - |
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas preview & analysis
Match preview
Leon host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) at Estadio León on Monday, 9 November 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Leon arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Puebla 1-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 18 points from 11 games. Guadalajara Chivas arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Atlas 1-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 19 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Leon have won 3, Guadalajara Chivas have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Leon narrow favourites: Leon 38%, draw 32%, Guadalajara Chivas 30%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Leon 1-0 Guadalajara Chivas.
Recent form
Leon- 10 OctAPuebla1-1
- 28 SeptHFC Juarez2-1
- 21 SeptAClub Queretaro1-1
- 15 SeptHAtletico San Luis2-0
- 11 SeptAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3
Guadalajara Chivas- 11 OctAAtlas1-1
- 5 OctHClub America2-0
- 27 SeptHClub Queretaro0-2
- 20 SeptAClub America2-2
- 14 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas: FAQ
What is the Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Leon 1-0 Guadalajara Chivas.
Who is the favourite to win Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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Leon are favourites. Our model gives Leon a 38% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?
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Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off at 02:00 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026 at Estadio León, Leon.