Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 12· Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan25 Oct
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.3 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Lech Poznan or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Legia Warszawa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XLegia Warszawa or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Lech Poznan to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Legia Warszawa to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Legia Warszawa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan preview & analysis
Match preview
Legia Warszawa host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Legia Warszawa arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Wisla Krakow 2-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 22 points from 10 games. Lech Poznan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0-4 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 22 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Legia Warszawa have won 2, Lech Poznan have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lech Poznan narrow favourites: Legia Warszawa 23%, draw 38%, Lech Poznan 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Legia Warszawa 1-2 Lech Poznan.
Recent form
Legia Warszawa- 11 OctHWisla Krakow2-0
- 3 OctHKorona Kielce5-1
- 26 SeptAZaglebie Sosnowiec4-2
- 20 SeptAJagiellonia3-1
- 13 SeptHWidzew Łódź1-1
Lech Poznan- 15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4
- 10 OctASlask Wroclaw4-1
- 3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2
- 20 SeptHRadomiak Radom5-1
- 17 SeptACrystal Palace0-4
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 3 |
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan: FAQ
What is the Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1-2 Lech Poznan.
Who is the favourite to win Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
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Lech Poznan are favourites. Our model gives Legia Warszawa a 23% chance of winning, Lech Poznan 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan kick off?
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Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw.
