Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 32· Stadion Poznan
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia1-1
FT
Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 8 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XLech Poznan or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Arka Gdynia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Arka Gdynia or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Lech Poznan to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Arka Gdynia to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arka Gdynia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia preview & analysis
Match preview
Lech Poznan host Arka Gdynia in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 32) at Stadion Poznan on Friday, 8 May 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lech Poznan have won 2, Arka Gdynia have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lech Poznan narrow favourites: Lech Poznan 44%, draw 38%, Arka Gdynia 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +17 | 60 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 3 |  Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +15 | 56 |
| 4 |  Raków Częstochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | +11 | 55 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +6 | 50 |
| 6 |  Legia Warszawa | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | +5 | 49 |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +7 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 46 |
| 9 |  Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 |  Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 |  Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 |  Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 |  Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 36 |
| 18 |  Nieciecza | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -22 | 34 |
Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
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Lech Poznan are favourites. Our model gives Lech Poznan a 44% chance of winning, Arka Gdynia 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia kick off?
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Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 8 May 2026 at Stadion Poznan, Poznan.
