Serie A· Regular Season - 33· Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
Fiorentina1-1
FT
Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 20 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lecce vs Fiorentina tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Lecce +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2Fiorentina or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| 1XLecce or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2Fiorentina to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Lecce to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lecce -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Lecce vs Fiorentina preview & analysis
Match preview
Lecce host Fiorentina in the Serie A (Regular Season - 33) at Stadio Via del Mare on Monday, 20 April 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lecce have won 2, Fiorentina have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fiorentina narrow favourites: Lecce 23%, draw 38%, Fiorentina 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 76 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 73 |
| 4 |  Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 71 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 70 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 69 |
| 7 |  Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 56 |
| 9 |  Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 54 |
| 10 |  Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 50 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 49 |
| 12 |  Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 45 |
| 13 |  Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 45 |
| 14 |  Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 |  Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 18 |
Lecce vs Fiorentina: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lecce vs Fiorentina?
+
Fiorentina are favourites. Our model gives Lecce a 23% chance of winning, Fiorentina 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Fiorentina?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Lecce vs Fiorentina kick off?
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Lecce vs Fiorentina kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Monday, 20 April 2026 at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce.
