Liga Profesional· Clausura - 5· Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Lanus
Independiente1-3
FT
Lanus vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 17 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lanus vs Independiente tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Independiente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Lanus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| X2Independiente or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XLanus or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Independiente to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | - |
| 1Lanus to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.44 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lanus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.93 | - |
Lanus vs Independiente preview & analysis
Match preview
Lanus host Independiente in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 5) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus on Monday, 17 August 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lanus have won 1, Independiente have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente narrow favourites: Lanus 23%, draw 38%, Independiente 39%. We expect around 1.9 goals (0.8 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 30% for over 2.5 and 36% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Lanus vs Independiente: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lanus vs Independiente?
+
Independiente are favourites. Our model gives Lanus a 23% chance of winning, Independiente 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lanus vs Independiente?
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We rate both teams to score at 36%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Lanus vs Independiente kick off?
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Lanus vs Independiente kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Monday, 17 August 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires.
