Oh My Tip
Scottish Premiership· Regular Season - 5· Rugby Park
Kilmarnock logoKilmarnock
ST Mirren logoST Mirren
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Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips

Wednesday, 2 September 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

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✓ Our model got it right

How many goals?

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✕ Our model got it wrong

Match probabilities

23%Kilmarnock
38%Draw
39%ST Mirren
Over 2.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals27%
Both teams to score71%
Clean sheet either side29%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH2 +1.5ST Mirren +1.5 (Asian Handicap)88%1.14-
X2ST Mirren or Draw77%1.30-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals73%1.37-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score71%1.42-
AH1 +1.5Kilmarnock +1.5 (Asian Handicap)67%1.49-
1XKilmarnock or Draw61%1.65-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals53%1.90-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals47%2.11-
2ST Mirren to win39%2.54-
XDraw38%2.65-
AH2 -1.5ST Mirren -1.5 (Asian Handicap)33%3.06-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score29%3.39-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals27%3.72-
1Kilmarnock to win23%4.39-
AH1 -1.5Kilmarnock -1.5 (Asian Handicap)12%8.24-

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren preview & analysis

Match preview

Kilmarnock host ST Mirren in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 5) at Rugby Park on Wednesday, 2 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

ST Mirren arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Motherwell 3-3 at home. They're 7th in the table with 10 points from 8 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kilmarnock have won 3, ST Mirren have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes ST Mirren narrow favourites: Kilmarnock 23%, draw 38%, ST Mirren 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.

Recent form

Kilmarnock logoKilmarnock
    ST Mirren logoST Mirren
    D
    • 30 AugHMotherwell3-3

    Head to head

    09/05/2026ST Mirren0-3Kilmarnock
    11/02/2026Kilmarnock4-3ST Mirren
    27/12/2025ST Mirren0-0Kilmarnock
    04/10/2025Kilmarnock2-0ST Mirren
    19/09/2025Kilmarnock2-2ST Mirren
    29/03/2025ST Mirren5-1Kilmarnock

    Scottish Premiership table

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Celtic logoCeltic8701+1221
    2Rangers logoRangers8611+619
    3Heart Of Midlothian logoHeart Of Midlothian8512+1116
    4Dundee logoDundee8413+313
    5ST Johnstone logoST Johnstone8323011
    6Dundee Utd logoDundee Utd8323-111
    7ST Mirren logoST Mirren8314-610
    8Aberdeen logoAberdeen8224-28
    9Motherwell logoMotherwell8224-48
    10Hibernian logoHibernian8215-47
    11Falkirk logoFalkirk8134-46
    12Kilmarnock logoKilmarnock8125-115

    Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren: FAQ

    Who is the favourite to win Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?

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    ST Mirren are favourites. Our model gives Kilmarnock a 23% chance of winning, ST Mirren 39%, and the draw 38%.

    Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?

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    We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

    When does Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren kick off?

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    Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

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