J1 League· Regular Season - 15· Mercari Stadium
Kashima
Shimizu S-pulse20 Nov
Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 20 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XKashima or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Shimizu S-pulse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Shimizu S-pulse or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Kashima to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Shimizu S-pulse to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Shimizu S-pulse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse preview & analysis
Match preview
Kashima host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League (Regular Season - 15) at Mercari Stadium on Friday, 20 November 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Kashima arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Công An Nhân Dân 1-0 away. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games. Shimizu S-pulse arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 13 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kashima have won 5, Shimizu S-pulse have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashima narrow favourites: Kashima 44%, draw 38%, Shimizu S-pulse 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Kashima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse.
Recent form
Kashima- 13 OctACông An Nhân Dân1-0
- 9 OctHGamba Osaka2-0
- 23 SeptHVentforet Kofu3-1
- 19 SeptAKawasaki Frontale3-3
- 15 SeptHNewcastle Jets7-1
Shimizu S-pulse- 14 OctAYokohama F. Marinos1-2
- 11 OctAMito Hollyhock2-1
- 7 OctHV-varen Nagasaki2-1
- 29 SeptAKanazawa2-0
- 19 SeptHJEF United Chiba2-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse: FAQ
What is the Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Kashima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse.
Who is the favourite to win Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
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Kashima are favourites. Our model gives Kashima a 44% chance of winning, Shimizu S-pulse 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse kick off?
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Kashima vs Shimizu S-pulse kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Friday, 20 November 2026 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.
