J1 League· Regular Season - 2· Mercari Stadium
Kashima
Nagoya Grampus2-1
FT
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 15 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XKashima or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Nagoya Grampus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Nagoya Grampus or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Kashima to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Nagoya Grampus to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Nagoya Grampus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus preview & analysis
Match preview
Kashima host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League (Regular Season - 2) at Mercari Stadium on Saturday, 15 August 2026, with kick-off at 09:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kashima have won 3, Nagoya Grampus have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashima narrow favourites: Kashima 44%, draw 38%, Nagoya Grampus 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
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Kashima are favourites. Our model gives Kashima a 44% chance of winning, Nagoya Grampus 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
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Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus kicks off at 09:00 UTC on Saturday, 15 August 2026 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.
