J1 League· Regular Season - 9· Mercari Stadium
Kashima
Gamba Osaka2-0
FT
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 9 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Kashima vs Gamba Osaka tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| 1XKashima or Draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.50 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.59 |
| AH2 +1.5Gamba Osaka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.68 | 1.46 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| 1Kashima to win | 54% | 1.86 | 1.69 |
| X2Gamba Osaka or Draw | 46% | 2.16 | 2.16 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.45 | 2.30 |
| AH1 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.47 | 2.75 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.38 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | 2.28 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.70 | 4.08 |
| 2Gamba Osaka to win | 19% | 5.16 | 4.72 |
| AH2 -1.5Gamba Osaka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.64 | 8.70 |
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.40 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.08 | 4.72 | 1.59 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.26 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.85 | 3.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.98 | 4.60 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.57 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 4.19 | 4.67 | 1.63 | 2.37 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.80 | 4.33 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.85 | 4.55 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka preview & analysis
Match preview
Kashima host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 9) at Mercari Stadium on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Kashima arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Ventforet Kofu 3-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games. Gamba Osaka arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 4-5 away. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kashima have won 3, Gamba Osaka have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashima favourites: Kashima 54%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 19%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Kashima- 23 SeptHVentforet Kofu3-1
- 19 SeptAKawasaki Frontale3-3
- 15 SeptHNewcastle Jets7-1
- 11 SeptAVissel Kobe1-2
Gamba Osaka- 3 OctAKashiwa Reysol4-5
- 23 SeptHTokushima Vortis5-0
- 20 SeptHVissel Kobe0-1
- 15 SeptHCông An Nhân Dân4-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
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Kashima are favourites. Our model gives Kashima a 54% chance of winning, Gamba Osaka 19%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Kashima vs Gamba Osaka kick off?
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Kashima vs Gamba Osaka kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Friday, 9 October 2026 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.
