Nations League· League A - 1· Stadio Olimpico
Italy
Belgium0-2
FT
Italy vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 25 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Italy vs Belgium tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Italy +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XItaly or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Belgium +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| X2Belgium or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Italy to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Italy -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.84 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Belgium to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Belgium -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.15 | - |
Italy vs Belgium preview & analysis
Match preview
Italy host Belgium in the Nations League (League A - 1) at Stadio Olimpico on Friday, 25 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Italy arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Greece 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 7 points from 4 games. Belgium arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Spain 1-2 away. They're 3rd in the table with 6 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Italy have won 4, Belgium have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.6 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Italy favourites: Italy 47%, draw 41%, Belgium 12%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Italy- 7 JunAGreece1-0
- 3 JunALuxembourg1-0
Belgium- 10 JulASpain1-2
- 7 JulAUSA4-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Italy vs Belgium: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Italy vs Belgium?
+
Italy are favourites. Our model gives Italy a 47% chance of winning, Belgium 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Italy vs Belgium?
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We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Italy vs Belgium kick off?
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Italy vs Belgium kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 25 September 2026 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
