Liga Profesional· Clausura - 14
Independiente
Boca Juniors25 Oct
Independiente vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Independiente vs Boca Juniors tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Boca Juniors +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Boca Juniors or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Independiente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XIndependiente or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2Boca Juniors to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Boca Juniors -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Independiente to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Independiente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Independiente vs Boca Juniors preview & analysis
Match preview
Independiente host Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 14) on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Independiente arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Talleres Cordoba 0-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 24 points from 16 games. Boca Juniors arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 0-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 30 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Independiente have won 1, Boca Juniors have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Boca Juniors narrow favourites: Independiente 23%, draw 38%, Boca Juniors 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Independiente 0-1 Boca Juniors.
Recent form
Independiente- 12 OctATalleres Cordoba0-0
- 2 OctHInstituto Cordoba1-4
- 19 SeptAUnion Santa Fe2-1
- 13 SeptHSan Lorenzo1-1
- 6 SeptACentral Cordoba de Santiago1-0
Boca Juniors- 14 OctHVasco DA Gama0-1
- 9 OctAInstituto Cordoba2-2
- 3 OctHUnion Santa Fe3-0
- 27 SeptARacing Club3-2
- 20 SeptASan Lorenzo2-0
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Independiente vs Boca Juniors: FAQ
What is the Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Independiente 0-1 Boca Juniors.
Who is the favourite to win Independiente vs Boca Juniors?
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Boca Juniors are favourites. Our model gives Independiente a 23% chance of winning, Boca Juniors 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Independiente vs Boca Juniors?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Independiente vs Boca Juniors kick off?
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Independiente vs Boca Juniors kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
