Copa Sudamericana· Round of 32· Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Independiente Medellin
Vasco DA Gama2-2
FT
Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Independiente Medellin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XIndependiente Medellin or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Vasco DA Gama or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.41 | - |
| 1Independiente Medellin to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| 2Vasco DA Gama to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Independiente Medellin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.01 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.40 | - |
Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama preview & analysis
Match preview
Independiente Medellin host Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Sudamericana (Round of 32) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot on Wednesday, 22 July 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente Medellin narrow favourites: Independiente Medellin 37%, draw 31%, Vasco DA Gama 32%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Copa Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?
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Independiente Medellin are favourites. Our model gives Independiente Medellin a 37% chance of winning, Vasco DA Gama 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama kick off?
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Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin.
