Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 5· Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion4-1
FT
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 20 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Independiente del Valle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XIndependiente del Valle or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Libertad Asuncion +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Libertad Asuncion or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 50% | 1.99 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 50% | 2.01 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Independiente del Valle to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Independiente del Valle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Libertad Asuncion to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Libertad Asuncion -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.47 | - |
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion preview & analysis
Match preview
Independiente del Valle host Libertad Asuncion in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 5) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil on Wednesday, 20 May 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Independiente del Valle have won 1, Libertad Asuncion have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente del Valle favourites: Independiente del Valle 47%, draw 41%, Libertad Asuncion 12%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  UCV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 0 |
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion?
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Independiente del Valle are favourites. Our model gives Independiente del Valle a 47% chance of winning, Libertad Asuncion 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion?
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We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion kick off?
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Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion kicks off at 02:00 UTC on Wednesday, 20 May 2026 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.
