Liga MX· Apertura - 17· Estadio Akron
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul22 Nov
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.1
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Match probabilities
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More Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Cruz Azul +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Cruz Azul or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | - |
| 1XGuadalajara Chivas or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2Cruz Azul to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cruz Azul -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 1Guadalajara Chivas to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.55 | - |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul preview & analysis
Match preview
Guadalajara Chivas host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX (Apertura - 17) at Estadio Akron on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 23:07 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Atlas 1-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 19 points from 11 games. Cruz Azul arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 away. They're 7th in the table with 17 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0, Cruz Azul have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruz Azul narrow favourites: Guadalajara Chivas 23%, draw 38%, Cruz Azul 39%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.4 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Guadalajara Chivas 1-2 Cruz Azul.
Recent form
Guadalajara Chivas- 11 OctAAtlas1-1
- 5 OctHClub America2-0
- 27 SeptHClub Queretaro0-2
- 20 SeptAClub America2-2
- 14 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
Cruz Azul- 12 OctAU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
- 2 OctAClub America0-0
- 26 SeptHToluca3-3
- 20 SeptAMonterrey0-1
- 17 SeptAInter Miami0-2
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul: FAQ
What is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1-2 Cruz Azul.
Who is the favourite to win Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
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Cruz Azul are favourites. Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 23% chance of winning, Cruz Azul 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul kick off?
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Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul kicks off at 23:07 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.
