Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 15· Markku.fi Areena
Gnistan
Mariehamn4-2
FT
Gnistan vs Mariehamn Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 11 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Gnistan vs Mariehamn tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Gnistan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XGnistan or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.51 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 56% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| X2Mariehamn or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Gnistan to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.25 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Gnistan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Mariehamn to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mariehamn -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.56 | - |
Gnistan vs Mariehamn preview & analysis
Match preview
Gnistan host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga (Regular Season - 15) at Markku.fi Areena on Saturday, 11 July 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Gnistan have won 5, Mariehamn have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gnistan favourites: Gnistan 47%, draw 41%, Mariehamn 12%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
Gnistan vs Mariehamn: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Gnistan vs Mariehamn?
+
Gnistan are favourites. Our model gives Gnistan a 47% chance of winning, Mariehamn 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Gnistan vs Mariehamn?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Gnistan vs Mariehamn kick off?
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Gnistan vs Mariehamn kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 11 July 2026 at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki.
