Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 2· Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin4-1
FT
Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 17 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Independiente Medellin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Independiente Medellin or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XFlamengo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Independiente Medellin to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente Medellin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Flamengo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin preview & analysis
Match preview
Flamengo host Independiente Medellin in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 2) at Estádio do Maracanã on Friday, 17 April 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente Medellin narrow favourites: Flamengo 23%, draw 38%, Independiente Medellin 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?
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Independiente Medellin are favourites. Our model gives Flamengo a 23% chance of winning, Independiente Medellin 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin kick off?
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Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 17 April 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
