J1 League· Regular Season - 14· Ajinomoto Stadium
FC Tokyo
Kashima7 Nov
FC Tokyo vs Kashima Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
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More FC Tokyo vs Kashima tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Tokyo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XFC Tokyo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Kashima or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1FC Tokyo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Tokyo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Kashima to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
FC Tokyo vs Kashima preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Kashima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 14) at Ajinomoto Stadium on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Tokyo arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Kashima arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Công An Nhân Dân 1-0 away. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Tokyo have won 1, Kashima have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Tokyo narrow favourites: FC Tokyo 44%, draw 38%, Kashima 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Tokyo 1-0 Kashima.
Recent form
FC Tokyo- 14 OctAMito Hollyhock0-1
- 10 OctHUrawa3-0
- 7 OctHShonan Bellmare4-0
- 29 SeptAEhime FC2-0
- 19 SeptHNagoya Grampus1-0
Kashima- 13 OctACông An Nhân Dân1-0
- 9 OctHGamba Osaka2-0
- 23 SeptHVentforet Kofu3-1
- 19 SeptAKawasaki Frontale3-3
- 15 SeptHNewcastle Jets7-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
FC Tokyo vs Kashima: FAQ
What is the FC Tokyo vs Kashima prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1-0 Kashima.
Who is the favourite to win FC Tokyo vs Kashima?
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FC Tokyo are favourites. Our model gives FC Tokyo a 44% chance of winning, Kashima 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashima?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does FC Tokyo vs Kashima kick off?
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FC Tokyo vs Kashima kicks off at 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo.
