Swiss Super League· Regular Season - 11· Stockhorn Arena
FC Thun
FC Lugano25 Oct
FC Thun vs FC Lugano Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.4
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Thun vs FC Lugano tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Lugano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2FC Lugano or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Thun +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| 1XFC Thun or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2FC Lugano to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Lugano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.51 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1FC Thun to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Thun -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.84 | - |
FC Thun vs FC Lugano preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Thun host FC Lugano in the Swiss Super League (Regular Season - 11) at Stockhorn Arena on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Thun are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Twente 0-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 10 points from 10 games. FC Lugano arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2 at home. They're 1st in the table with 28 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Thun have won 1, FC Lugano have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Lugano narrow favourites: FC Thun 17%, draw 41%, FC Lugano 42%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.4 - 2.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Thun 1-2 FC Lugano.
Recent form
FC Thun- 15 OctATwente0-1
- 10 OctAFC Zurich2-4
- 3 OctHSC Kriens2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Vaduz2-1
- 16 SeptHServette FC2-4
FC Lugano- 15 OctHFK Crvena Zvezda3-2
- 10 OctHFC Luzern4-0
- 2 OctHHellas Verona1-3
- 20 SeptALausanne4-0
- 16 SeptHFC ST. Gallen4-1
Head to head
Swiss Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +24 | 28 |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |  FC ST. Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 |  FC Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Servette FC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  FC Basel 1893 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  FC Luzern | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
FC Thun vs FC Lugano: FAQ
What is the FC Thun vs FC Lugano prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is FC Thun 1-2 FC Lugano.
Who is the favourite to win FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
+
FC Lugano are favourites. Our model gives FC Thun a 17% chance of winning, FC Lugano 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
+
We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Thun vs FC Lugano kick off?
+
FC Thun vs FC Lugano kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
