Swiss Super League· Championship Group - 34· Stockhorn Arena
FC Thun
FC Lugano0-1
FT
FC Thun vs FC Lugano Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 25 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Thun vs FC Lugano tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Thun +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XFC Thun or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5FC Lugano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2FC Lugano or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1FC Thun to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Thun -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2FC Lugano to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Lugano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
FC Thun vs FC Lugano preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Thun host FC Lugano in the Swiss Super League (Championship Group - 34) at Stockhorn Arena on Saturday, 25 April 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Thun have won 2, FC Lugano have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Thun narrow favourites: FC Thun 44%, draw 38%, FC Lugano 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Swiss Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Thun | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | +38 | 74 |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +24 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Lugano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 57 |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 53 |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | +16 | 52 |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +5 | 48 |
| 7 |  FC Luzern | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | +3 | 40 |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | -18 | 34 |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -25 | 27 |
| 12 |  FC Winterthur | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | -51 | 19 |
FC Thun vs FC Lugano: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
+
FC Thun are favourites. Our model gives FC Thun a 44% chance of winning, FC Lugano 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does FC Thun vs FC Lugano kick off?
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FC Thun vs FC Lugano kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
