2. Bundesliga· Regular Season - 10· Millerntor-Stadion
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Nürnberg1 Nov
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC St. Pauli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XFC St. Pauli or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.51. FC Nürnberg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X21. FC Nürnberg or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1FC St. Pauli to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC St. Pauli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 21. FC Nürnberg to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.51. FC Nürnberg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview & analysis
Match preview
FC St. Pauli host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10) at Millerntor-Stadion on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC St. Pauli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Karlsruher SC 2-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 10 points from 7 games. 1. FC Nürnberg arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Energie Cottbus 1-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC St. Pauli have won 5, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC St. Pauli narrow favourites: FC St. Pauli 44%, draw 38%, 1. FC Nürnberg 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg.
Recent form
FC St. Pauli- 11 OctHKarlsruher SC2-0
- 3 OctHBorussia Mönchengladbach1-1
- 20 SeptAEnergie Cottbus1-1
- 12 SeptHVfL Wolfsburg1-0
- 4 SeptAArminia Bielefeld2-2
1. FC Nürnberg- 16 OctAEnergie Cottbus1-1
- 10 OctHVfL Wolfsburg4-4
- 2 OctHFC Ingolstadt 043-1
- 19 SeptAKarlsruher SC1-0
- 11 SeptHHannover 962-1
Head to head
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 |  Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: FAQ
What is the FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg.
Who is the favourite to win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
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FC St. Pauli are favourites. Our model gives FC St. Pauli a 44% chance of winning, 1. FC Nürnberg 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg kick off?
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FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg.
