Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 5· Estádio do Dragão
FC Porto
Moreirense2-1
FT
FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 4 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Porto vs Moreirense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XFC Porto or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| X2Moreirense or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1FC Porto to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 42% | 2.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | - |
| 2Moreirense to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.45 | - |
FC Porto vs Moreirense preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Porto host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 5) at Estádio do Dragão on Friday, 4 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Moreirense arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Casa Pia 1-0 away. They're 12th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Porto have won 5, Moreirense have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto favourites: FC Porto 47%, draw 41%, Moreirense 12%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.2 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
FC PortoMoreirense- 30 AugACasa Pia1-0
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
FC Porto vs Moreirense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win FC Porto vs Moreirense?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives FC Porto a 47% chance of winning, Moreirense 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Moreirense?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Porto vs Moreirense kick off?
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FC Porto vs Moreirense kicks off at 19:15 UTC on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.
