Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 3· Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Estrela
SC Braga2-1
FT
Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 10 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Estrela vs SC Braga tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5SC Braga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2SC Braga or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | - |
| 1XEstrela or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2SC Braga to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| AH2 -1.5SC Braga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 1Estrela to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.55 | - |
Estrela vs SC Braga preview & analysis
Match preview
Estrela host SC Braga in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3) at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca on Thursday, 10 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estrela arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Famalicao 2-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 10 points from 8 games. SC Braga arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Alverca 2-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estrela have won 0, SC Braga have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes SC Braga narrow favourites: Estrela 23%, draw 38%, SC Braga 39%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.4 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Estrela- 5 SeptHFamalicao2-2
- 30 AugANacional3-2
SC Braga- 5 SeptAAlverca2-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Estrela vs SC Braga: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Estrela vs SC Braga?
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SC Braga are favourites. Our model gives Estrela a 23% chance of winning, SC Braga 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Estrela vs SC Braga?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Estrela vs SC Braga kick off?
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Estrela vs SC Braga kicks off at 19:15 UTC on Thursday, 10 September 2026 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo.
