Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 9· Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril
Moreirense25 Oct
Estoril vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Moreirense or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
More Estoril vs Moreirense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Estoril +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| AH2 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| 1XEstoril or Draw | 73% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.26 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.98 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.08 | 1.94 |
| 1Estoril to win | 43% | 2.31 | 1.98 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.40 | 3.67 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| 2Moreirense to win | 27% | 3.66 | 3.94 |
| AH1 -1.5Estoril -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.09 | 3.35 |
| AH2 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.84 | 8.30 |
Estoril vs Moreirense odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 | - | - | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.67 | 3.94 | 1.98 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.52 | 3.78 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.77 | 1.92 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
Estoril vs Moreirense preview & analysis
Match preview
Estoril host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estoril are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Academico Viseu 1-2 away. They're 18th in the table with 2 points from 8 games. Moreirense are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to GIL Vicente 0-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estoril have won 0, Moreirense have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Estoril narrow favourites: Estoril 43%, draw 29%, Moreirense 27%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.5 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 49% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Moreirense should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Moreirense or Draw at 1.88, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Estoril 1-0 Moreirense.
Recent form
Estoril- 10 OctAAcademico Viseu1-2
- 20 SeptHCasa Pia1-2
- 14 SeptASC Braga0-1
- 7 SeptHArouca0-0
- 31 AugABenfica1-2
Moreirense- 9 OctHGIL Vicente0-1
- 20 SeptAVitória SC1-1
- 14 SeptHMaritimo3-1
- 9 SeptHBenfica0-4
- 4 SeptAFC Porto1-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Estoril vs Moreirense: FAQ
What is the Estoril vs Moreirense prediction?
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Our tip is Moreirense or Draw at odds of 1.88. Our predicted score is Estoril 1-0 Moreirense.
Who is the favourite to win Estoril vs Moreirense?
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Estoril are favourites. Our model gives Estoril a 43% chance of winning, Moreirense 27%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Estoril vs Moreirense?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Estoril vs Moreirense kick off?
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Estoril vs Moreirense kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril.
