Ligue 1· Regular Season - 6· Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes
Marseille0-2
FT
Estac Troyes vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Estac Troyes vs Marseille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| X2Marseille or Draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| AH1 +1.5Estac Troyes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.71 |
| 1XEstac Troyes or Draw | 54% | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| 2Marseille to win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.07 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | 2.32 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.55 | 2.38 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 | 2.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | 3.44 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.45 | 3.76 |
| 1Estac Troyes to win | 25% | 4.06 | 3.74 |
| AH1 -1.5Estac Troyes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.19 | 6.65 |
Estac Troyes vs Marseille odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 1xBet | 3.74 | 3.76 | 2.07 | 1.71 | 2.32 | 1.55 | 2.32 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.75 | 2.02 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.70 | 2.04 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.29 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61 | 3.64 | 2.10 | 1.69 | 2.28 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.29 | 3.52 | 2.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Estac Troyes vs Marseille preview & analysis
Match preview
Estac Troyes host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6) at Stade de l'Aube on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estac Troyes are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Most recently they drew with Dijon 2-2 away. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Marseille are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 1-2 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Estac Troyes have won 0, Marseille have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille favourites: Estac Troyes 25%, draw 29%, Marseille 46%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Estac Troyes- 2 OctADijon2-2
- 19 SeptAAngers0-2
- 13 SeptALille0-2
- 6 SeptHStrasbourg2-6
- 29 AugALorient2-1
Marseille- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
- 6 SeptHParis FC2-3
- 30 AugAMonaco0-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Estac Troyes vs Marseille: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
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Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Estac Troyes a 25% chance of winning, Marseille 46%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Estac Troyes vs Marseille kick off?
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Estac Troyes vs Marseille kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.
